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Tuesday, September 19, 2006

Heavy Lumber

The Lumber Market has been under heavy pressure for quite awhile. The steady downtrend is obvious when looking at this chart. However, this market is setup for a possible trend change. POSSIBLE.

The commercials have become heavy buyers of this market for quite awhile. This is an example of what I have mentioned many times about how they are early at times. The typical seasonal low is in October, so if this downtrend line can be broken in that month it is a breakout that should be taken.

Also notice the strong divergence in the ProGo oscillator at the bottom. I am watching this closely and plan on taking this trade when it comes along.

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