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Tuesday, July 21, 2009

Here is a pattern taught by Kevin Haggerty although he stole it from someone else and gave it his own name. He calls it the RST, but it is basically a megaphone pattern. Just to keep myself out of any trouble, I will not explain the rules other than just to display this here.



It is an expanding pattern of pivot points that resembles a megaphone, and it is a reversal pattern. There is another modified version of this called a Wolfe Wave. I did have that sell signal based on the Vix that showed up a few days ago that so far is terrible. Although it is just designed to identify a zone not a enter at the market when it shows up. However, the best ones do move price within a day or two which that clearly has not done, so it has to be labeled a losing signal.



Generally these megaphone patterns work best when they have symmetry like this has, legs of similar lengths in price and time. Also some oscillator divergence of some sort should accompany it and there is some of that here. It should work pretty quickly on a close below the prior bars low if it is valid. This is the first day it is valid, so look for a close below the low of a previous day for an entry here.



The cycles now are calling for further upward movement for a couple of weeks or so. I have blown the short term buy that I put on down at the low of this swing, exiting way too soon. I have not shorted this move yet fortunately as I use these signals to alert me to look for something not just to blindly jump in. It saves me from getting run over when they are early or wrong.

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