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Tuesday, July 14, 2009

Mission Accomplished

As you can see from the chart, there is now an exit signal displayed coming into today. As I had stated, this signal was a short term signal that works over a few days period of time. I exited most of my stock trades on the close yesterday with a couple left to exit today at the close.

It does appear a potential short term sell signal will generate at the end of today, but we need a strong close for that to happen. Bigger picture there is a mixed bag here. Some of the indices are showing commercial buying and some are not. It is certainly possible we could have an upmove here. However, the trend remains down overall so I am just looking to sell strength when it shows up into that downward trend.

Keep in mind that there is a general bias to the upside above the 200 day moving average and to the downside below it for individual stocks. As a result try to trade in that direction in general. This is true basically because many fund managers really watch that average so it almost becomes a self fullfilling prophecy for it to work.

The 200 day has no edge in futures trading at all, it is a stock market phenomena.

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