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Monday, January 12, 2009

WHAT THE BUCK?

Here is a weekly chart of the US Dollar Index. It is clear the uptrend that we have been in and also equally clear why I have been bullish on this market. Notice the blue line indicating the commercials buying the market during the recent pullback in price. This is exactly what we want to see the go long a market.

There are alot of geniuses out there citing one reason after another as to why the dollar is going to take a mighty fall. They may be right, but for trading purposes all that hyperbole is worthless. It comes down to having a way of knowing what your signals are and tuning out the noise. This was a buy signal at the recent low, and I was outspoken about this in many forums including the piggington blog where I post occasionally. This chart shows why. At times I may trade short term against these types of setups, but big picture, these are what you want for large moves in the markets.

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