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Sunday, March 08, 2009

I thought it would make sense to do a report card on how I have done here recently. As a trader there is no bs your results are measured in dollars and cents, there is no try, make money or lose it.



Here are my recent market calls and then a review of how good or bad they were:



Bonds - I posted selling time on the exact day of the retracement high the market fell from 135 to 123 a $12,000 a contract move, A for that class.



Natural Gas - I stated it was set up for a sell but thought it would drift a bit higher first. It drifted higher for 3 more days then tanked. This was a tad over $9,000 per contract to the low, A as well here.



Gold - I posted that this was good for $100 on the short side on the day the market made a high of 1007.7, the recent low is 900.4, over $10,000 per contract, another A+.



Dollar - I posted that I thought we had a short sale setup that might look marginal after the fact, this was a lousy call as the market has basically chopped around and gone nowhere, up slightly. I also said that if we break out to new highs the market could really take off, jury still out on that one. Overall I would rate this as a D.



Stocks - I have said that I thought we would have a bounce in March, then the next day fine tuned that to March 13th being the low. Obviously we do not know if that is any good or not yet. If I am right here the low should either occur at the end of this week or close to it.



Report Card shows 3 A or A +'s if the plus is allowed, one D and one incomplete. Hard to be better than that overall, if you can win 3 out of 4 times and get moves that large, you can make more money than you can imagine. Let's hope my views continue to be this good!

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Great work Chris... thanks for sharing your insights.

Rich