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Wednesday, November 01, 2006

BONDS

For those of you who subsribe to my services, I made mention in my monthly newsletter about symmetry in the middle of trading ranges. Here you can see how these uplegs look very similar. Trading in the middle of ranges like this is very dangerous.

Often the price swings all the way back to the other side like this, but not always. Sometimes you get stuck in the middle, with choppy action. You can see a sell 111'29 stop indication, which was filtered out as an order for today due to this range configuration, as well as the gap up bars.

I know that someone mentioned they felt rates were going to rise due to a fundamental reason. Who knows, that may happen, but right now they are dropping. Big picture fundamental things are very hard to dial in to short time frames for trading purposes. We are now approaching the upper range, where sell signals will make more sense. Hopefully, my system will generate some sell signals up here against these highs.

If I had to guess I would say that this rally is being generated by weak economic news, but that is just a wild guess.

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