Here we have Bonds, a market that is setup to make a low. We have the seasonal low time period at hand, commercial buying, and very negative sentiment.
This does not mean just run out and go long this market, but what it does tell us is that we need to be looking for signs of a trend change to get long here. Seasonals are simply a guideline for us to look for something, they are far from a holy grail for trading. However, this is one of the most consistent seasonal patterns that exists in the futures markets.
There is no question that there is more government manipulation of markets going on now than what we have seen in the past, but there is always this type of thing going on somewhere. One thing we have certainly had proven to us without a shadow of a doubt, is in alot of industries the last honest man has left town quite some time ago. We cannot believe virtually anything that comes out of a CEO or Senators mouth nowadays. Just accept this, it is what it is. This should not preclude us from making money trading.