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Monday, June 08, 2009

Well right on cue, a minor sell signal showed up for stocks, and we got a bounce here in the Dollar. I had stated previously that there was not a sell signal in sight for stocks, then all of the sudden it showed up quickly. Is this a really strong sell signal ? No. However, we are in an area where it is worth taking.

This bounce in the dollar is a good enough bounce, when tied into the larger picture cycles and major support, to signal a buy now here if we move back down as indicated by the line on the chart. All this means is that we need to form a higher short term low now, then we can buy a break out above it.



Will it happen? you never know. If for some reason we get a sharp stock decline this could just shoot right up out of here without a pause, but odds favor somewhat of a retest of the low, which will be our buying spot. If the cycle is ready to kick in again, this market could really move up quickly from here. If these lows do not hold, you can probably kiss the dollar goodbye for awhile. This makes it worth a shot on the long side due to the possible big move that could happen, good risk/reward ratio.

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